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    Forex market analysis: 20 September 2024

    September 20, 2024

    Gold prices are holding near record highs as global economic uncertainty and recent central bank decisions push investors towards safer assets. Traders are keeping a close eye on gold’s strong performance, with prices staying above key support levels.

    Gold holds steady at record levels

    Gold prices remained stable at around USD 2,600 per ounce on Friday, hovering near historic highs as global markets processed key monetary decisions from central banks.

    XAU/USD prices maintained near record highs, as observed on the VT Markets app.

    On the technical side, gold (XAUUSD) closed at USD 2,606.79, close to its daily peak of USD 2,609.77, continuing its upward trend as economic uncertainty boosts demand for safe-haven assets. The precious metal has held its bullish trajectory, with the daily chart showing price stability above the 72-day exponential moving average (EMA)

     This signals strong upward momentum, further confirmed by the MACD line crossing above the signal line. Gold’s price remains comfortably above both the 24- and 72-period EMAs, indicating a likely continuation of this positive trend in the near term.

    Key resistance stands at the USD 2,610 level, and a breakout could see prices advancing to new highs. On the downside, support is expected around the USD 2,580 level, where the 72-day EMA provides potential cushioning for any retracements.

    Central bank policies and their effect on gold

    The Federal Reserve’s recent 50 basis point interest rate cut, its first since early 2020, has bolstered gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Fed officials have also hinted at another half-point reduction by year-end, further strengthening the bullish outlook for the metal.

    Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) opted to keep its benchmark lending rates unchanged, surprising many market participants. The Bank of England (BoE) also held its key interest rate steady at 5%, signalling a cautious approach to monetary policy.

    This global trend towards more accommodative central bank policies is likely to support continued optimism for gold in the coming months.

    Outlook for gold traders

    With ongoing monetary easing from the Fed, the bullish outlook for gold could persist. However, traders should stay alert to any sudden hawkish shifts in central bank policies, which could introduce market volatility. A strategy that positions for potential gains while remaining mindful of possible pullbacks may be prudent for navigating the near-term gold market.

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